196combined defeats carried by his knockout victims
88Joshua win share once the market's margin is stripped out
Evidence confidence: The 20 stoppages, the 196 combined defeats and the Dubois loss are hard results; the judgment that Prenga's opposition was domestic level is interpretation drawn from record analysis.
Scheduled Full timeJeddah Superdome, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia
Anthony Joshua was knocked down twice in the first round but recovered to knock out Kristian Prenga in round two of his comeback fight on 25 July 2026, setting up a November bout with Tyson Fury.
Our pre-match read backed Anthony Joshua, and that is how it finished.
The closing market agreed: Anthony Joshua went off the 1.06 favourite, an implied 94.3%, and the favourite came in.
Prenga has stopped every opponent he has beaten, yet those victims carried 196 combined defeats and none came close to Joshua's level, so his 11.00 payout reads as more proven than it is.
Kristian Prenga's perfect stoppage record makes his 11.00 price look like hidden value, but the level behind those knockouts is why Anthony Joshua stays the sporting pick.
Back Joshua. Prenga has stopped all 20 men he has beaten, but those 20 carried 196 combined defeats between them, and he has never shared a ring with anyone near Joshua's class. The 11.00 on Prenga prices a record, not the level it was built against.
1.04×Anthony Joshua to win
The evidence
The evidence behind the read.
Vig-adjusted fight-winner market
Vig-adjusted fight-winner market
Anthony Joshua88
Kristian Prenga8
Draw4
Vig-adjusted fight-winner market
Label
Value
Anthony Joshua
88
Kristian Prenga
8
Draw
4
Prenga's wins by stoppage
Prenga's wins by stoppage
20from 20 professional wins
Prenga's wins by stoppage
Measure
Value
Prenga's wins by stoppage
20
Combined defeats carried by Prenga's stoppage victims
Combined defeats carried by Prenga's stoppage victims
196opponent losses
Combined defeats carried by Prenga's stoppage victims
Measure
Value
Combined defeats carried by Prenga's stoppage victims
196
Prenga's latest run
Prenga's latest run
3straight first-round stoppages
Source: BBC Sport
Prenga's latest run
Measure
Value
Prenga's latest run
3
Joshua v Dubois
Joshua v Dubois
5round knockout loss
Source: BBC Sport
Joshua v Dubois
Measure
Value
Joshua v Dubois
5
Opening prices
Where the market opened
Anthony Joshua 1.04Kristian Prenga 11.00Draw 23.00
Opening odds, Wed 22 Jul · 09:39 UTC. Not the live price.
Where the market opened
Outcome
Decimal price
Anthony Joshua
1.04
Kristian Prenga
11.00
Draw
23.00
Why the price may be wrong
The record that makes the price tempting
Prenga arrives at 20 wins and one defeat, and every single win came by knockout or stoppage. On paper that is the scariest kind of opponent, a man who has never needed the judges. The market answers with 11.00, a number big enough to make you wonder what the favourite's backers have missed.
What the 196 actually tells you
Here is the catch. Prenga's 20 stoppage victims carried 196 combined defeats between them. A perfect knockout percentage describes how his fights finished, not the standard he beat. Most of that opposition was domestic level, and his only loss was a points defeat to a Dutch journeyman back in 2017. The power is real. The proof of quality is not.
A level Prenga has never seen
The BBC notes Prenga has never faced anyone close to Joshua's calibre and remains largely unknown even to committed boxing fans. Joshua is an Olympic gold medallist and a former two-time unified champion, and Matchroom is selling this as the warm-up before a likely Fury fight. Strip the market's margin out and Joshua sits at 88, with Prenga at 8. The step up in class is the whole story. (BBC Sport, Sky Sports)
Counterargument and protected turn
What if the read is wrong?
Prenga's last three fights all ended in the first round, and Dubois proved Joshua can be stopped by a heavy heavyweight puncher.
The opposite case: Kristian Prenga
The danger is not imaginary. Prenga's last three fights all ended inside the first round, and Daniel Dubois knocked Joshua out in the fifth at Wembley in September 2024, the cleanest recent evidence that Joshua can still be hurt.
Why the Anthony Joshua read survives
Dismiss the power completely and you miss the fight, but Dubois was a live unified-level heavyweight when he stopped Joshua, and Prenga is not. One-round finishes against domestic opposition tell you Prenga ends overmatched nights early. They do not tell you he can survive, let alone hurt, a former two-time champion who has shared rings at the very top.
What the other side needs: Prenga's price is the bet if the level gap is smaller than the records suggest, if Joshua's chin is now permanently compromised after Dubois, and if Prenga lands the same clean early shot that ended his last three nights before Joshua's class can matter.
Common questions
Anthony Joshua vs Kristian Prenga: your questions answered
Who won Anthony Joshua vs Kristian Prenga?
Anthony Joshua won KO R2. Anthony Joshua was knocked down twice in the first round but recovered to knock out Kristian Prenga in round two of his comeback fight on 25 July 2026, setting up a November bout with Tyson Fury.
Who did we back for Anthony Joshua vs Kristian Prenga?
Back Joshua. Prenga has stopped all 20 men he has beaten, but those 20 carried 196 combined defeats between them, and he has never shared a ring with anyone near Joshua's class. The 11.00 on Prenga prices a record, not the level it was built against.
Who was the favourite?
Anthony Joshua was the market favourite at a best price of 1.06×, about a 94% chance to win. Oddly Likely picked Anthony Joshua too.
What were the best odds for Anthony Joshua vs Kristian Prenga?
The closing prices we recorded were: Anthony Joshua at 1.06× (CloudBet), Kristian Prenga at 12.00× (BC.Game) and Draw at 50.00× (22Bet). Prices last checked Sat 25 Jul · 16:48 UTC. Odds move between checks, so confirm the current number with the partner before you bet.
When was Anthony Joshua vs Kristian Prenga?
Anthony Joshua vs Kristian Prenga took place on Sat 25 Jul · 18:00 UTC at Jeddah Superdome, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. All times are shown in UTC.