# Real Betis vs Real Madrid Odds & Prediction 2026 > Isco scored the last decisive goal in Seville. Betis are unbeaten in four home meetings with Madrid. At 7.5, the market is sleeping on the head-to-head. Canonical: https://oddlylikely.com/markets/real-betis-v-real-madrid-2026-09-04.html Status: upcoming Event: Real Betis vs Real Madrid Competition: LaLiga EA SPORTS Start: 2026-09-04T19:00:00Z (Fri 4 Sep ยท 19:00 UTC) Venue: Estadio La Cartuja, Seville Market: match winner Updated: 2026-09-01T03:38:30.765Z ## Editorial read The market puts Betis at 13% implied probability. Madrid's actual record in Seville, four meetings without a win since August 2021, says the crowd is pricing on league standing rather than the specific fixture. ## Short answer Betis at 7.5 is the value. Madrid have not won in Seville since August 2021, Betis are unbeaten in four straight home meetings with them, and the man who scored the last decisive goal there, Isco, is still in the squad. ## Key evidence - 4: Betis home meetings with Madrid without a defeat (last Madrid win: August 2021) - 7.5: Betis's market price to win - 3: Madrid wins in their last nine meetings with Betis across all venues - 12: Betis home games in a row without defeat across all competitions at La Cartuja ## Recorded prices Prices are decimal snapshots, not live quotes. - #1 BetOnline: Real Betis 7.75; Draw 5.32; Real Madrid 1.39 (checked 2026-09-01T03:38:30.115Z) - #3 SportsBetting: Real Betis 7.75; Draw 5.32; Real Madrid 1.39 (checked 2026-09-01T03:38:30.115Z) - #7 CloudBet: Real Betis 7.45; Draw 5.30; Real Madrid 1.37 (checked 2026-09-01T03:38:17.759Z) - #8 1XBet: Real Betis 7.06; Draw 5.23; Real Madrid 1.46 (checked 2026-09-01T03:38:30.115Z) - #10 MelBet: Real Betis 7.04; Draw 5.21; Real Madrid 1.44 (checked 2026-09-01T03:38:30.115Z) ## Analysis ### The most personal story on the card Isco spent nine years at Real Madrid. Then they let him go. On 1 March 2025, he pulled on a Betis shirt in Seville and scored the winner in a 2-1 home win over his former club. That is the most recent occasion these two met at Betis's ground and someone left with all three points. He is still at Betis. The crowd that will fill La Cartuja on Friday knows exactly what that means. ### Madrid cannot win in Seville The last time Real Madrid won at Betis's home ground was 28 August 2021. Since then the four meetings in Seville have produced a 0-0, a 1-1, the 2-1 Isco win for Betis, and another 1-1 in April 2026. Four games, zero Madrid wins. Take a wider view and the picture barely improves: across their last nine meetings with Betis in all settings, Madrid have won three times, drawn five, and lost once. Three wins from nine against this opponent is not the record of a side that ought to be priced at 1.34. ### The crowd is pricing league form, not this fixture The market split sits at 69% Madrid, 18% draw, 13% Betis. Mourinho has won all three of his opening LaLiga games in his second spell, his side has scored ten and conceded two, and the crowd is extrapolating that outward to a 1.34 favourite price. That logic makes sense as a league narrative. It does not account for the specific problem Madrid have had at La Cartuja since August 2021. Popularity and form table are pulling in one direction. The head-to-head is pulling in the other. ### Betis at home are a different side The 5-2 defeat at Levante on 29 August will have coloured the read on Betis. Pellegrini was direct after it: set-piece errors, not a team in freefall. Five of Betis's five league goals conceded came in that one afternoon. Across all competitions at La Cartuja, Betis are on a 12-game home unbeaten run. In their last six LaLiga home games they took four wins and two draws, scored nine and conceded three. The Levante loss was real. It was also away from home. At La Cartuja, this is a different proposition. ## Strongest opposing case Real Madrid are the form side of the early season. Ten goals in three games, Mbappe already leading LaLiga scoring, Mourinho unbeaten since arriving back at the club. A side this clinical in front of goal does not simply switch off because they are playing in Seville. ## Response Madrid are clinical at home. Away from the Bernabeu, their last six LaLiga away games produced three wins, one draw and two defeats, with seven scored and six conceded. In Seville specifically they have not won since August 2021 across four attempts. That record held through Madrid dominant cycles before Mourinho arrived. It is not about the opposition's weakness. It is about a fixture that keeps producing the same result regardless of who is managing. ## Practical information - Watching: Real Madrid's official club announcement of the LaLiga matchday-four schedule states the Betis game is on Friday 4 September at 9:00 pm CEST, shown in Spain on Orange TV and Movistar LaLiga. No official listing covering other territories was published on that page, so viewers outside Spain should check their local LaLiga rights holder rather than assume access. - Availability: No confirmed starting eleven exists for either side three days out. LaLiga publishes confirmed lineups on the official match page roughly an hour before kick-off; until then any eleven you see is a prediction. Both squads carry published injury absences, listed per team below with their own sources. None of them should be read as a ruling on who starts. ## Sources - [AP News](https://apnews.com/article/real-betis-champions-league-atletico-la-liga-ca851fe5e0ecd9845aec052dcee2ad71) - [ESPN / FotMob](https://www.espn.com/soccer/report/_/gameId/401882899) - [LaLiga. Real Betis vs Real Madrid, Matchday 4](https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/match/temporada-2026-2027-laliga-ea-sports-real-betis-real-madrid-4) - [Real Madrid CF. Official club news](https://www.realmadrid.com/en-US/news/football/first-team/latest-news/el-betis-real-madrid-se-jugara-el-viernes-4-de-septiembre-a-las-21-00-h-03-08-2026) - [FotMob. Real Betis vs Real Madrid match page](https://www.fotmob.com/en-GB/matches/real-betis-vs-real-madrid/2gg3e3) - [Sports Mole. Betis vs Real Madrid head-to-head record](https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/real-madrid/race-for-the-la-liga-title/head-to-head/betis-vs-real-madrid-head-to-head-record-and-past-meetings_566744.html) - [Sports Mole. Real Madrid injury and suspension list](https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/real-madrid/injury-news/injuries-and-suspensions/rodrygo-militao-endrick-tchouameni-updates-real-madrid-injury-suspension-news-vs-malaga_603816.html) ## More from Oddly Likely - [All market analyses](https://oddlylikely.com/markets.html) - [Structured market record](https://oddlylikely.com/api/v1/markets/real-betis-v-real-madrid-2026-09-04.json) - [Developer resources](https://oddlylikely.com/developers.html) - [Methodology](https://oddlylikely.com/methodology.html) - [Responsible gambling](https://oddlylikely.com/responsible-gambling.html) Educational analysis only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.